Sunday, January 18, 2026

India’s Defence Modernisation Crisis: Structural Failures and the Way Forward

Follow K P Singh on X


Procurement bias, weak testing ecosystems, absent technical ownership, and a misaligned R&D and funding architecture are the key lessons India must draw from the evolution of the U.S. and Chinese military-industrial complexes.

India’s defense modernization debate is often reduced to budgets, political will, or bureaucratic delay. These explanations are incomplete. The deeper problem lies in how the Indian armed forces conceptualize procurement, how little technical ownership they retain over execution, and how funding authority is fragmented away from engineering reality.

A comparison with both the United States and China shows that India’s constraint is not money or talent, but institutional design—especially who controls programs once they begin.


1. Procurement Philosophy: Build, Commit, Fix Vs Buy, Test, Delay

The US Model: Commitment Is a Decision, Not a Reward

The United States Armed Forces do not wait for perfection before committing. They commit first and correct later.

The sequence is consistent:

  1. Define threat
  2. Commit to a domestic solution
  3. Place large, long-term orders early
  4. Field imperfect systems
  5. Fix and evolve them in service

The United States Department of Defense optimizes for sovereignty, scale, and ecosystem survival, not lowest unit cost (L1).


F-35 vs Tejas Mk1: Commitment Creates Capability

The contrast between F-35 Lightning II and Tejas Mk1 is illustrative.

The F-35 entered service with software instability, reliability issues, and cost overruns—yet the US and partners placed hundreds of orders upfront. Production scaled before maturity. Problems were solved after induction, not used as reasons to delay it.

Tejas Mk1 followed the opposite path:

  • Limited initial orders
  • Stop-start commitment even after IOC/FOC
  • Induction treated as a reward for perfection

Capability matures at scale, not in endless trials. The US understands this structurally. India does not.


2. Testing Infrastructure: Capability Is Decided Here, Not on Paper

US Armed Forces: Testing Is a Military Asset

In the US, testing infrastructure is owned, funded, and prioritised by the armed forces themselves:

  • Flight test centers
  • Engine and propulsion test beds
  • Weapons integration labs
  • EW and environmental ranges

“Failures feed redesign, not rejection. Operators, testers, engineers, and program managers operate as one technical loop”.


China: Infrastructure First, Platforms Later

The People’s Liberation Army internalised this lesson early.

Before demanding results, China:

  • Built engine and materials test infrastructure
  • Invested heavily in metallurgy and manufacturing
  • Created integrated flight-test ecosystems

Platforms followed infrastructure—not the other way around.


India: Expecting Outcomes Without Tools

India’s experience—most starkly with engines—shows the cost of ignoring this logic.

The Kaveri engine, led by Gas Turbine Research Establishment, was pursued without:

  • Heavy thermal and hydraulic forge presses
  • A timely Flying Test Bed
  • High-altitude engine test facilities
  • A mature materials ecosystem

Testing gaps were treated as DRDO or vendor failures—not as user-owned capability gaps.


3. Technical Ownership and the Missing CTO-Style Authority

The US: Technical Authority Controls Money

A critical but underappreciated difference is who controls funding during execution.

In the US system:

  • Congress authorises and appropriates funds
  • The DoD Comptroller apportions money
  • Acquisition leadership controls execution

Within the United States Department of Defense:

  • The Under Secretary for Acquisition & Sustainment sets acquisition direction
  • Program Executive Officers (PEOs) control portfolios (fighters, engines, ships)
  • Program Managers (PMs) control day-to-day spending

Crucially, funding follows engineering judgement, not committee comfort. When problems emerge, money is re-aligned—not withdrawn.

This functions as a CTO-style model with budget authority.


Why US Programs Survive Failure

This structure explains why US programs:

  • Receive large upfront orders
  • Survive early failures (F-35, Aegis, Zumwalt)
  • Are fixed after induction, not abandoned

Once the US commits, withdrawal is institutionally difficult. The system is designed to fix problems, not escape them.


India: Fragmented Authority, No Owner

India has the opposite structure:

  • Users define requirements but don’t control funds
  • MoD controls funds but not technical execution
  • DRDO develops but cannot assure induction
  • DPSUs execute without competitive pressure
  • Private industry carries risk without authority
  • Imports become a default setting when a program get delayed due to absence of ownership.

No single entity:

  • Owns outcomes end-to-end
  • Can dynamically reallocate funding
  • Can protect a program through early failure

This is why programs slow down, infrastructure is delayed, and imports become the default escape.


4. The Missing R&D Investment Strategy: Why an Extra 0.5% of GDP Matters

India spends ~0.7% of GDP on R&D. An additional 0.5% of GDP on R&D that translates to $20bn, even for a few years, would be transformational only if directed towards National R&D misiions like engines with structural reform.

Done right, it would:

  • Accelerate existing programs (Engines, AMCA, TEDBF, Naval systems)
  • Build shared infrastructure once for multiple platforms
  • Enable parallel solutions instead of sequential risk-avoidance
  • Expand priorities into civil aviation and transport aircraft

The US and China widened their portfolios after stabilizing funding and authority. India has done neither.


5. Execution Model: Why Industry Must Lead

For this R&D expansion to work, execution must be private-industry-led, not dominated by DPSUs or government labs.

This is not a critique of individuals in DRDO. It is recognition of systemic limits of government execution:

  • Risk aversion
  • File-driven decision-making
  • Inability to iterate fast
  • Fear of visible failure

No country has built jet engines, combat aircraft, or complex weapons through government labs alone.

Correct roles:

  • Private industry: system integration, productization, scaling
  • Armed forces: capability ownership and technical decisions
  • DRDO: high-risk research, testing, certification
  • DPSUs: competitive production and sustainment

This mirrors the US MIC ecosystem and China’s state-directed primes.

Conclusion: India’s Problem Is Not Spending — It Is Unity of Purpose and Control

The United States commits early and fixes later. China commits ruthlessly and scales fast. India waits for perfection—and imports when patience runs out.

At the heart of this failure is a deeper contradiction.

Those who take risks reap the rewards of their actions—but risk in national defense is not borne by the military alone. The scientific and engineering community takes equally consequential risks, often over decades, in environments of uncertainty, incomplete data, and evolving threats. Technology is not an accessory to national defense; it is one of its most powerful instruments.

If both the scientific community and the armed forces serve the same purpose—protecting the nation—then the persistent lack of harmony between these two pillars becomes impossible to justify.

In India, success is often claimed collectively, but failure is frequently isolated and assigned—usually downward. Scientists are blamed for delays, industry is blamed for immaturity, while the user quietly exits to imports. This dynamic destroys trust, discourages risk-taking, and guarantees technological dependence.

No serious military power functions this way.

In the US and China, scientists, engineers, industry, and the armed forces share both failure and success. Programs are protected through setbacks. Accountability exists—but it is collective, not selective. This unity of purpose is what allows systems like the F-35 to mature, engines to evolve, and industries to scale in US and China.

India must internalize this lesson.

Our scientists and soldiers are not opposing camps—they are co-owners of national security outcomes. They must share responsibility for both failure and success. Without that shared accountability, no increase in R&D spending, no procurement reform, and no organizational restructuring will deliver sovereignty.

Until India:

  • Unifies technical and operational risk
  • Aligns funding authority with engineering judgement (Milestone based like DoD, US)
  • Commits at scale and protects programs through failure
  • Treats technology creators as partners, not vendors

…the cycle of delay, blame, and import dependence will continue.

"This is not a question of budgets or capability. It is a question of institutional trust, shared risk, and collective ownership".

That unity—of effort, respect, and accountability—must be the path forward”.

 

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India’s Defence Modernisation Crisis: Structural Failures and the Way Forward

By K P Singh · · · Follow K P Singh on X Procurement bias, weak testing ecosystems, absent technical ownership, and a...

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