Wednesday, January 14, 2026

An Assessment of the Modi Government’s Failure in Developing and Leveraging a Technology Ecosystem

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R&D

(Major R&D Projects in Defence)

Today’s India is divided into three camps. One believes every technology gap should be patched with imports. The second believes in buying short-term capability while running R&D in parallel. The third—like China—believes in going all-in on chokepoint technologies until domestic mastery is achieved. Only the latter two actually build a real technology ecosystem, yet policy continues to be dominated by the first—traders of hardware, not builders of capability.

The Five Pillars of Creating and Sustaining a Real Technology Ecosystem

Nations do not become technology powers by slogans, startup festivals, or ribbon-cutting ceremonies. They become technology powers by building an ecosystem where ideas, capital, talent, testing facilities, and buyers move in one direction for decades. Every country that now dominates aerospace, semiconductors, AI, pharmaceuticals, or defence followed the same structural path.

India has talent. What it lacks is alignment. The five pillars below are not optional. They are the minimum architecture required to turn a country into a technology-producing nation rather than a technology-buying one.


1. Industry–Academia Collaboration

No serious technology has ever come out of isolated universities or isolated companies. Breakthroughs come when researchers, engineers, and manufacturers work on the same problems at the same time.

In the US, DARPA, MIT, Stanford, Boeing, Lockheed, US armed forces research labs/institutes and semiconductor firms operate in one loop. In China, universities, PLA research labs, and private firms like AVIC, Huawei, and SMIC are tightly integrated. In Germany and Korea, applied research institutes are directly plugged into industrial production.

India, by contrast, has universities writing papers and industries importing machines. The two barely meet. Professors are rewarded for publications, not prototypes. Companies are rewarded for imports, not indigenous design.

Without deep collaboration—shared labs, joint PhD programs, industry-funded chairs, and long-term applied research contracts—India will continue to produce engineers who assemble foreign systems instead of inventing domestic ones.


2. National Technology Missions

All great technology ecosystems are mission-driven.

The US did not get semiconductors by accident—it came from Cold War electronics, Apollo, and defence electronics programs. China did not get telecom, EVs, and AI, weapon systems by accident—it came from 35 Stranglehold technology roadmap, 65 Critical technologies tracker, Made in China 2025, semiconductor missions, and military-civil fusion.

Missions do three things:

  • They define what must be built.
  • They guarantee long-term funding.
  • They align ministries, labs, industry, and procurement.

India needs explicit national missions in many areas like:

  • Turbofan engines and propulsion systems
  • Industrial Machinery (heavy/Precision)
  • Civil/Military Transport Aircrafts
  • Mining, Processing and Refining of critical raw materials
  • Semiconductors and their manufacturing tools
  • Energy storage and power electronics
  • Defence platforms and subsystems
  • Sovereign AI and compute

Without missions, R&D becomes scattered grants, and companies chase short-term profits instead of long-term capability.


3. Fund of Funds and Global-Parity in R&D Investment

Technology is expensive. There is no way around it.

The US, China, Germany, Korea, and Japan all spend between 2.5% to 4% of GDP on R&D. India stays stuck around 0.7%. That is not frugality—it is technological suicide. India must smell the coffee and spend on R&D as its major global peers do.

R&D

R&D as a Percentage of GDP: USA, UK, China, France, Germany, India

A Fund of Funds is essential because deep tech does not survive on angel investors and consumer-app VCs. It needs:

  • 10–15 year patient capital
  • High-risk tolerance
  • Public and private co-investment

The state must absorb early risk so that private industry dares to build engines, fabs, materials plants, and defence/civil platforms. If India can spend tens of billions on imports, it can spend a fraction of that on building its own technological spine.


4. Testing and Production Infrastructure

"Design without testing is fiction. Manufacturing without scale is hobbyism".

Every advanced nation has national labs, large wind tunnels, engine test cells, Flying test bed, High Altitude engine test facility, chip fabs, materials foundries, EMC chambers, and qualification facilities, heavy forge presses(thermal and hydraulic), CNC Machines that companies can use. These are too expensive for startups/smallcap or midcap companies but essential for real technology.

India suffers from a brutal gap: companies/lab can design, but they cannot validate, certify, or mass-produce at global standards in a time bound manner. That forces them back to foreign suppliers. Kaveri engine program failed due to lack of testing, production infrastructure and a day one perfection expectation coupled with frugal investment. Our fighter aircraft subsystems still go abroad like ONERA, France for testing.

National testing and production infrastructure—shared, neutral, and world-class—is what turns drawings into flying aircraft, reliable turbofan engines, working chips, and deployable systems on time. When these facilities don’t exist, delays are inevitable, and DRDO and industry end up as convenient scapegoats. Reforming DRDO and DPSUs matters, but without serious investment in common testing, certification, and production infrastructure, no high-technology ecosystem can scale


5. Procurement Aligned with Indian Design and Manufacturing

This is the most critical pillar—and the one most often sabotaged.

No technology ecosystem survives without a buyer. The biggest buyer in any country is the state: defence, railways, energy, telecom, space, and infrastructure and you can not compare these sectors with automotive sector where an individual is the customer not the state.

If procurement rewards imported systems or screwdriver-assembly JVs, domestic R&D dies. This happened with most of our programs as they were either not ordered at all or not ordered at scale just like nag missiles, Arjun tank, ATAGS, WhaP etc. What if the procurement prioritizes Indian designed, developed, and manufactured products, industry gets the confidence to invest. The fact that Tata Advanced Systems had to set up its WhaP armored vehicle manufacturing plant in Morocco instead of India should put any leader claiming to champion self-reliance to shame. After a decade of ‘Make in India’ slogans, an Indian defence company still finds it easier to build for the world outside India than inside it. "That gap between rhetoric and reality is the real national security risk". 

The Defence Procurement Manual 2025 is already raising alarm among defence enthusiasts because it appears to tilt the playing field in favor of foreign OEMs offering JVs and ToT, instead of genuinely rewarding Indian companies that invest in building and owning intellectual property over time. It risks turning ‘self-reliance’ into assembly work rather than true capability creation. Lets wait for DAP 2025 which is in draft mode currently.

The US bought from Boeing and LM. China bought from COMAC and AVIC. France bought from Airbus and Dassault. They did not wait for perfection—they bought domestic, improved it, and kept buying. That is exactly how industry stalwarts in the US, China, and France were built.  India must do the same. Capability grows only when orders flow to those who build locally and own the IP. However, Our armed forces are still looking at a whopping ~$50 billion in defence equipment imports from the U.S., Israel, France, Germany, and others


Conclusion

Talent is not India’s problem. Capital is not India’s problem. Market size is not India’s problem.

The problem is that these five pillars are not aligned.

Until industry, academia, missions, funding, infrastructure, and procurement pull in the same direction, India will keep importing engines, chips, weapons, and machines—while claiming to be a technology power.

Some so-called geopolitics experts are now celebrating India’s plan to import massive amounts of capital-intensive equipment ($40bn approx.) from France and Germany ahead of an EU FTA. In reality, it exposes something far less flattering: India is negotiating from a position of technological weakness, not strength—buying leverage instead of building it

Technology leadership is not declared. It is constructed—slowly, expensively, and deliberately by investing heavily in R&D and education. That’s how a country gains the true strength of negotiating with its peers.

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